2019 Golden Globes - Who Will/Should Win

The 76th annual Golden Globes are happening tonight. The Globes are a very hit and miss show in terms of how they affect the Oscar race. On the one hand, it gives us a slight idea of how these voting branches are leaning for voting. On the other hand, Alice in Wonderland was nominated for Best Picture in 2010, so you get both sides of the coin. With this year’s Oscar race still relatively open, I hope this will clear the fog just a little bit. Here are my picks for who will win, as well as should win, at this year’s Golden Globes.

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture

Roma
The Favourite
If Beale Street Could Talk
Vice
Green Book

The Favourite has a ton of wit, drama, comedy, and smart dialog that everyone in the HFPA will fall in love with.

Will Win – THE FAVOURITE
Should Win – IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK

Best Original Score – Motion Picture

A Quiet Place
Isle of Dogs
Black Panther
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns

A lot of great scores here, particularly First Man, but Mary Poppins is the only musical of the bunch, so it should take this one.

Will Win – MARY POPPINS RETURNS
Should Win – First Man

Best Original Song – Motion Picture

“All The Stars,” Black Panther
“Girl in the Movies,” Dumpling
“Requiem for a Private War,” A Private War
“Revelation,” Boy Erased
“Shallow,” A Star is Born

I’m predicting A Star is Born sweep and “Shallow” is the biggest song from any movie this year, even if it may not be the best.

Will Win – “SHALLOW”, A STAR IS BORN
Should Win – “All the Stars”, Black Panther

Best Foreign Language Film

Capernaum
Girl
Never Look Away
Roma
Shoplifters

A cakewalk here. Roma is the only film to have nominations in other categories and has been a critical favorite all season long.

Will Win – ROMA
Should Win – Shoplifters

Best Motion Picture, Animated

Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spiderman: Into the Spiderverse

This is a tougher battle than I anticipated it being, as INCREDIBLES 2, SPIDERVERSE, and ISLE OF DOGS all could pull a W here. But the Globes LOVE Pixar (they nominated CARS 2 for God’s sake) so I think INCREDIBLES 2 will pull this off.

Will Win – INCREDIBLES 2
Should Win – Incredibles 2

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

Amy Adams, Vice
Claire Foy, First Man
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

Vice has the most nominations out of every movie at this year’s Globes, so I expect they will reward it in a number of spots. Adams is a favorite in the industry and could pull a double win for this and SHARP OBJECTS. Don’t be surprised if King pulls an upset, though.

Will win – AMY ADAMS, VICE
Should Win – Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Timothée Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell, Vice

The most unpredictable category at the Globes and in Oscar season, anyone could pull this one out. Green Book got a good number of nominations and Ali is the standout – and only good part – of the film, so I’m leaning his way. He was also criminally robbed back in 2016 for his Oscar winning turn in Moonlight, so they owe him one. I could also see the charming Richard E. Grant pull out a win here or even Driver, which would make me ecstatic.

Will Win – MAHERSHALA ALI, GREEN BOOK
Should Win – Adam Driver, BlackKklansman

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Lin Manuel Miranda, Mary Poppins Returns
Christian Bale, Vice
Viggo Mortenson, Green Book
Robert Redford, The Old Man and the Gun
John C Reilly, Stan And Ollie

A great list of nominees – except for Mortinson, who’s one “spicy meat-a-ball away from Chef Boyardee – but Bale has this one in the bag for a performance that could nab him his second Oscar.

Will Win – CHRISTIAN BALE, VICE
Should Win – Robert Redford, The Old Man and the Gun

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns
Charlize Theron, Tully
Elsie Fisher, Eighth Grade
Constance Wu, Crazy Rich Asians

It’s really a coin-flip between Blunt and the deliriously fun Colman, but I think Blunt will be rewarded for her sensational year and for a performance you can’t help but love. I would also like to note that my heart would explode if Fisher somehow won.

Will Win – EMILY BLUNT, MARY POPPINS RETURNS
Should Win – Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama

Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
Lucas Hedges, Boy Erased
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman

Along with a possible A Star is Born sweep, Cooper’s been nominated twice before with no wins and A Star is Born is the best performance of his career. I don’t think any of the other nominees have a shot, though if there were one, it would probably be *shudder* Rami Malek.

Will Win – BRADLEY COOPER, A STAR IS BORN
Should Win – Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama

Glenn Close, The Wife
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Nicole Kidman, Destroyer
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Rosamund Pike, A Private War

They’ve awarded Gaga before in 2016 for American Horror Story, and will do so once again, as this will be the first stop on Gaga’s run to the Oscar.

Will Win – LADY GAGA, A STAR IS BORN
Should Win – Lady Gaga, A Star is Born

Best Director – Motion Picture

Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Adam McKay, Vice
Peter Farrelly, Green Book

The sweep continues, so I’m leaning on Cooper, though Cuaron, who’s more than likely to win the Oscar, could easily pull this off. I also wouldn’t be surprised is Spike Lee came from behind to pull this out, a win that would make my heart sing.

Will Win – BRADLEY COOPER, A STAR IS BORN
Should Win – Spike Lee, BlackKklansman

Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

The Favourite
Green Book
Vice
Mary Poppins Returns
Crazy Rich Asians

The only one you can count out is Crazy Rich Asians, though that movie is great. Will it go to the feel-good movie about race? The most nominated movie? A dazzling musical? Or a love triangle period dramedy? I’m leaning towards the love triangle, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the HFPA went for something more conventional.

Will Win – THE FAVOURITE
Should Win – Mary Poppins Returns

Best Motion Picture, Drama

BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk
Black Panther
A Star Is Born
Bohemian Rhapsody

The sweep is completed with A Star is Born taking home the big prize, though this is far from a guarantee, as BlackKklansman could pull off the upset, as could the juggernaut that is Black Panther.